"Nintendo Switch 2 Sales Forecast for 2025 Revealed by Analyst"

Summary

• An analyst predicts that the Switch 2 will sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming it launches within the first half of the year.
• The analyst believes the Switch 2 will perform strongly, but the PS5 may lead in US console sales.
• High anticipation surrounds the Nintendo Switch 2, but its success could hinge on launch timing, hardware quality, and the competitiveness of its game lineup.

Gaming analyst Mat Piscatella forecasts that the Nintendo Switch 2 will sell approximately 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, provided it launches within the first half of the year. This prediction echoes the original Nintendo Switch's success, which sold 4.8 million units by the end of 2017, surpassing initial expectations. To meet high demand, Nintendo airlifted Switch units back then. Fans hope that Nintendo has learned from past experiences and prepared adequately for the Switch 2's launch.

Gamers eagerly await the announcement of Nintendo's next console. The Switch 2 frequently trends on social media due to anticipation for its reveal, though this buzz may not directly translate into sales. Several factors could determine the Switch 2's performance in 2025, including launch timing and the strength of its game lineup.

Circana video game analyst Mat Piscatella expects the Nintendo Switch 2 to sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025, assuming a first-half launch. Many speculate a release by April 2025, just before summer, which could boost sales during Japan's Golden Week holiday and other global festivities.

Analyst Predicts 4.3M Switch 2 Sales in 2025

Given the anticipation for an announcement - I predict Nintendo's next hardware device will sell 4.3 million units in the US in 2025 (assuming a 1H launch), representing about one-third of all video game console hardware units sold that year (excluding PC Portables).— Mat Piscatella (@matpiscatella.bsky.social) 2025-01-08T16:09:43.754Z

Piscatella further explains that in the US, the Switch 2 could account for one-third of video game hardware sales, not including portable PC devices like the Steam Deck or ROG Ally. He anticipates potential supply constraints due to high initial demand, though it's unclear how much manufacturing capacity Nintendo has allocated. It's possible that Nintendo has stockpiled resources to avoid a repeat of the original Switch's and PS5's launch shortages.

While Piscatella believes the Switch 2 will perform well, he predicts the PlayStation 5 will top US game console sales. The Switch 2 generates significant excitement, which could boost sales. However, with other major titles like Grand Theft Auto 6 expected to launch on the PS5 in 2025, potentially bypassing Nintendo systems, the PS5 may have an edge. The Switch 2's success will largely depend on its hardware quality and the strength of its launch lineup.